Three Link Directory

1/31/2015

Ratan Tata Helps Bring Multi-Million Dollar X-Prize to India

The US-based non-profit X-Prize has set up massive incentives (think, $10 million or $15 million) for innovators to crack challenges in health, education, and the environment.
The LA-based organization will take its first foray abroad to India.  A new Mumbai chapter of X-Prize debuted in December, initiated by Ratan Tata, former chairman of one of India’s largest conglomerates, Tata Group.
“We are bringing X-Prize to India with the belief that the next big innovation to solve of the world’s Grand Challenges will come from India, directly impacting millions of people at the base of the pyramid.  Through X-Prize, we want to tap into this promise of potential and possibility,” he said.
India fit the bill for X-Prize. A developing country, yes.  However, its strengths in entrepreneurship, sciences, and technology align seamlessly.  As it is, India has been referred to as the hotbed of social innovation with thousands of social enterprises cropping up, aspiring to find market-driven answers to the country’s woes.

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X-Prize outlines India’s challenges in these 8 categories: energy, learning, food & nutrition, shelter, water, social justice, waste, global connectivity.
That’s an audacious list.  But that’s what X-Prize does creates an incentive for bold results.  Its first successful prize was the Ansari X Prize aimed at creating a spacecraft capable of carrying three people to 100 km above the Earth’s surface, twice with in two weeks.   In 2004, $10 million was awarded to Scaled Composites, an aerospace company in the Mojave Desert of California for design Spaceship One. Today, Virgin Galactic relies on Scaled technology for their new venture into space.
X-Prize is hoping for similar results in India.  If successful, they want to scale it beyond the subcontinent, building similar prize-based schemes in South America, Africa, and Asia.
The prizes in India would be catered to her needs: assisting the semi-literate get education and a better skill set, resolving transportation problems, disposing of waste, getting nutrition to the malnourished, and building renewable energy sources.
Tata is one of an impressive list of advisers on X-Prize’s Executive Board. Other heavyweights include Larry Page and Eric Schmidt, James Cameron (filmmaker) Navin Jain, Arianna Huffington, and Elon Musk.
“X-Prize will make a new India.  It really could change things for a nation of a billion people,” Tata said at the launch in Mumbai.

Why We're All Scared to Death of Uber--and What to Do About It



Will an aggressive Silicon Valley alpha personality take over your industry and completely disrupt it? Could the livelihood you spent the last 5, or 10 or 20 years building become unprofitable overnight?
All of the backseat driving many of us are doing about Uber reflects something huge that is coming to a head. None of us want to give up the goodies the digital economy has brought—whether it is free music and reading material or cheap cab rides—but as Uber growth makes abundantly clear, someone always gets hurt and loses work when there’s disruption. And most of us hope we’re not the next to find ourselves staring, deer in the headlights, as a disruptor mows us down along with the rules of our industry. We don’t want the years we spent earning degrees, mastering our craft, or bringing the love to our customers to be devalued–possibly to zero. That’s true even as we jump into that very convenient cab.
So what can you do to avoid being roadkill? It seems like there are two main ways: (a) figure out how to become independently wealthy (b) think like you’re a one-person business, even if technically, you’re not–and be prepared to pivot like you’re in a dance video on YouTube.
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Since I haven’t figured out how to do “a,” let’s jump straight to “b.” One employer, who runs a New York City consultancy, recently told me that the resumes he gets from millennial are now mostly from those operating one-person LLCs. They don’t want to be tied down to a 9 to 5 situation and would rather be contractors hired on a recurring basis. They consider it more secure. They’re onto something. If they find a job worth taking for a while, they can always back-burner the LLC until they want to freelance again.
“Work is no longer work,” as Peter Sorgenfrei, CEO of Somewhere, a U.K.-based platform that matches employers with talent, put it to me when we talked last week. “It’s a series of projects. People are not looking for a job. They’re looking for a project.” Whether that is three years working for a company in their city or three months freelancing for a start-up in Brazil, it’s still a project in the eyes of the site’s users, he says. “They don’t really want a job in a traditional sense,” he says.
This is the future. And the biggest source of stability will be skills. If you want a full-time job, recent LinkedIn research showed that the top 25 most in-demand skills that landed people traditional jobs were mostly technical and drills down to which specific ones they are. The Department of Labor’s Occupational Outlook Handbook, tedious as the name sounds, is also a good source of ideas.
But if you’d rather stay independent, different skills may make you more marketable because they tend to be outsourced. Freelance platform Elance-oDesk found in recent research that independent workers who have learned Swift, Apple’s new programming language, are particularly sought after. Elance-oDesk has found that there was 160% growth in job postings for freelancers who use Swift in December alone. “The adoption by freelancers has been a lot more rapid than we’ve seen with other programming languages,” Rich Pearson, a senior vice president at Elance-oDesk, told me recently.
The freelancers who collectively saw the greatest jump in earnings in 2014 were customer service agents (up 92%), user interface designers (up 68%), front-end web developers (up 54%), iOS mobile developers (up 45%), accountants (up 43%) and video producers (up 37%). The skills for which the most job postings were listed on the platform were QA testing (up 147%), video editing (up 133%), Xero accounting (up 113%), Zendesk customer service (up 97%) and source code management (up 61%).

One piece of good news is that many of these skills don’t require a college degree—which at least gives the average person a chance of acquiring them without racking up lots of debt. You can pick up some in short boot camps and online courses.
“I think we’re only going to see a steady increase in the cost of education,” says Nicholas Wyman, author of Job U: How to find wealth and success by developing the skills companies actually need. Wyman is also CEO of the Institute for Workplace Skills and Innovation, which develops mentoring programs for corporations and places individuals in apprenticeship programs around the world.
For many people who need work, Wyman says, the decision to get an additional degree to pick up needed skills “will have to get down to the practicalities. Is this a realistic option—or is there another way I can get to the same end goal?”
We’re all going to have to figure answers like this for ourselves—and quickly. In an on-demand era, seizing the moment matters.

Forget Wireless Charging, This Microsoft Prototype Charges With Indoor Sunlight



A year ago, the Internet was buzzing with speculation that Apple was about to unveil a new iPhone with a sapphire screen that doubled as a solar panel.
It was a cool idea and not entirely unfounded. In February 2013 Apple was granted a patent, originally filed in 2008, for an “integrated touch sensor and solar panel” that described a panel located “on the front surface of the housing” of a portable electronic device that would switch between collecting solar energy and sensing a tap or a swipe.
Obviously, this didn't come to pass. However, if Apple ever decides to revisit the idea in the future, three researchers who work for Microsoft in Beijing will be ready.
Yunxin Liu, Zhen Qin and Chunshui Zhao have published a paper that describes a system they call “Auto Charge” that can charge a smartphone using a light beam indoors. The advantage the system has over its natural counterpart is that it could conceivably charge a phone at night or on an overcast or rainy day.

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Auto Charge works hard to make solar charging effortless and automatic. A camera takes continuous pictures of a surface, such as a desk, in anticipation of detecting a smartphone. When a smartphone is detected it communicates with the charging system about the status of its battery. If the battery needs charging, a rotating motor adjusts the direction of a light beam so that it shines on the phone until the battery is full. If multiple phones are placed on the desk, the system can charge them one by one.
The researchers argue that charging phones with sunlight, a form of electromagnetic radiation that is not widely recognized as such, is preferable to using other forms of electromagnetic radiation like Wi-Fi. While there are conflicting claims about the safety of different methods of wireless power spanning the spectrum from kilohertz to gigahertz, the dangers of sunlight are well known to anyone who has gotten a sunburn or tried to stare into the sun.
According to the researchers, their Auto Charge system is safer than sunlight. While the energy of the light beam is similar to sunlight, they maintain that the beam is a cool light and causes less heat than sunlight. If an object, such as “a curious kid,” blocks the beam, the beam is designed to shut off within 50 milliseconds. “This is faster than human reaction for self-protection,” the researchers write.
But don’t expect Microsoft to start producing Auto Charge phones and chargers anytime soon. “Our prototype implementation is far away from a commercial product,” the researchers note. “To become a real product for users in practical settings, our prototype much be improved in many aspects.”

1/29/2015

Microsoft Outlook For iOS And Android Arrives, It Looks Excellent

Microsoft Outlook For iOS And Android Arrives, It Looks Excellent

Today Microsoft MSFT +2.02% announced Outlook for iOS and a preview version for Android. iOS and Android devices already have calendar apps, but Microsoft said that the new Outlook app makes it easier to sort through your e-mail, contacts, calendar and file-sharing. The new Outlook app for iOS and Android phones and tablets are based on Accomplice, an app company that Microsoft acquired for over $200 million in December.
The Outlook app separates mail into two tabs — Focused and Other. The important e-mails will be placed in the Focused inbox. If you move your e-mail in or out of your Focused inbox, Outlook will start to learn which type of messages are important to you. Swiping left or right lets you take actions like archive, delete, move, flag and mark as read/unread. The swipe gestures can be personalized if you do not like the default settings, which gives the Outlook app a leg up above the competition. There is also a “Schedule Email” feature that temporarily removes e-mails from your inbox and returns at a time of your choosing.

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Outlook App / Focused or Other folders, Credit: Microsoft
Microsoft’s new Outlook app has predictive search so that you can quickly find the right e-mails, files and contacts. The People feature in the app lets you see the contacts that you e-mail the most often. You will notice that a Microsoft e-mail account is not needed to use the app. These features work across all of the major e-mail services, including Microsoft Exchange, Office 365, Outlook.com, G mail, Apple AAPL +3.1% iCloud and Yahoo YAHOO -5.9%! Mail.

What I like about the Outlook app is the direct interaction between e-mails and the calendar app. Outlook lets you see meeting details and review the attendance status of invitees. There is a “Quick RSVP” feature that lets you respond to meetings with ‘Accept,’ ‘Tentative’ or ‘Decline’ without having to open the e-mail.

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Calendar integration in Outlook / Credit: Microsoft
There is a “Send Availability” feature that lets you send out available meeting times. After deciding on a time, you can create a meeting invitation without leaving the app. You can send your schedule by tapping on the calendar icon at the bottom-right corner of the e-mail draft. The available times on your calendar can be highlighted and you can input a list into the body of your e-mails.
Another feature in the Outlook app that stands out is the ability to quickly share your files that are stored in the cloud. When writing e-mails through a mobile device, it is rather difficult to link to cloud documents and set up permissions for viewing files. Generally, people don’t share documents or attach files until they get back to their computers. The Outlook app automatically gives file permissions to the recipients of e-mails. Through a few taps, you can insert links to any file from Drop box, OneDrive, iCloud, Google GOOGL +0.07% Drive and Box .

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Sharing files in the cloud through Outlook / Credit: Microsoft
If you want to find a file quickly, then you can view recently received e-mail attachments. This will save you time from having to search through your e-mails to find documents that you are looking for. Outlook searches through your files in cloud storage services and e-mail attachments at the same time so you can quickly find what you are looking for in the Files section of the app. There are also Quick Filters so that you can sort by file types.
On Android, Outlook is called “Preview” because the iOS version is ahead in terms of performance and features. The Outlook app requires iOS 8.0+ or Android 4.0+. Here is the list of languages that Microsoft said it supports: English, Norwegian (BokmÃ¥l), Catalan, Croatian, Czech, Danish, Dutch, Finnish, French, German, Greek, Hungarian, Indonesian, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Malay, Polish, Portuguese, Romanian, Russian, Simplified Chinese, Slovak, Spanish, Swedish, Thai, Traditional Chinese, Turkish, Ukrainian and Vietnamese.
The new Outlook app replaces Microsoft’s Outlook.com app for Android and the OWA apps for Android and iOS. The older apps will be around for now, but they are likely going to be phased out as the Outlook app enhances. Microsoft said that they will be updating the Outlook app on a weekly basis so it will constantly improve. You can download the app on iTunes and Google Play now.

Why Women Are Choosing Coding Bootcamps

My new husband and I got off the plane in Bali, super excited to get our honeymoon started. Our driver picked us up and drove us straight to the co-working space, Hubud. I was going to learn Ruby on Rails.
I had been accepted into the Ruby On The Beach program in Ubud, Bali – and it started a few days after we got married. After some I do and a quick kiss, we were on a plane to Indonesia.
The first day of class, I was pleasantly surprised that out of the 10 students, 4 were women. Kintan from Jakarta, Mona from Ubud, and Jenny from London. We had a great first day getting to know each other and at lunch, I turned and asked Jenny to tell me about herself. Jenny just graduated with her BA and MA in History. 
“History!?!” I said, I’m sure looking shocked. “That’s awesome! What made you decide to learn coding with a background in History?” 
Jenny Ho went on to tell me that she was hoping to bridge the gap between history and tech – she loved them both and thinks that the field of history could use some tech updating. I thought that was a great idea and we dug in a bit deeper. Why she chose the boot camp route was what intrigued me most. “My dad really wanted me to go into Computer Science, but it was such a heavily male-dominated environment, that I decided to take another route.” 
A self-proclaimed amateur programmer, Jenny has been dabbling in building websites since she was 15, so her interest in the subject matter is great. 
“I chose to go the boot camp route because it’s a better fit for me right now. The short-term immersive experience helps me to actually learn and retain information. If I had to do this in one year, I would probably procrastinate for 9 months. The boot camp works out cheaper than a degree. It’s easier to save for living expenses for 3 months rather than to save for a year or more. I looked at quite a few boot camps before I settled on Ruby on the Beach as my ideal boot camp.” she said. 
Turns out, the rapid learning immersive environment is what appeals to most women. 
Jessica Weinberg, graduate of Full Stack Academy and now employed at Time Hop said, “It was the only alternative for me after graduating with a 4 year degree in Communications. The first computer science course I tried to take in college was very intimidating. The teacher started the first day by saying that he was going to skip over a lot of fundamentals because we probably already knew them. I also wasn’t sure what I wanted to do in general so it felt like a very big commitment to go through with a major without being completely sure that it was something I wanted to do. It wasn’t until I was able to start building things and felt comfortable that I really felt like this was a career I wanted to pursue.”
Laura Mead, Dev Boot camp graduate and now Twitter employee said “I knew I wasn’t wasting my time.  I’d been to a 4-year university, and while it wasn’t exactly a walk in the park, I knew that not every class was applicable to an English career.  While I majored in a useful degree (there’s nothing wrong with learning how to speak and write eloquently!), I don’t diagram sentences ever.  Which leaves me to believe that while CS degrees are valuable, there are classes and concepts you’re just never going to come across in real life.  So why waste your time?  With DBC, I knew I was getting to the core of what I would be using every day as a developer.  And after a year and three months in the business, I can say that I use my skills every day.” 
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Jenny Ho, Luca Spagnolo and Kintan Ayunda learn Ruby On Rails in Bali.
Not only is the immersive environment an attractive attribute – the pay isn’t too shabby either. From “I’ve now tripled my income” to “I never thought I would be making a six figure salary after going to a boot camp.”  The pay for software engineers is staggering. With an immersive learning environment and a potentially high earning potential at the end – women are starting to flock to boot camps as a way to get started on a new career path. 
Coding boot camps are popping up all over the globe and each one brings something special to the table – from location, like Ruby On The Beach, to help with job placement like Dev Boot camp – there is a boot camp for you.

What Happens When A Chinese Tycoon Stands Up Against The Government? Oftentimes You Fall, Hard.


In a country where political power easily makes or breaks a company, it is rare to see a private-sector business at loggerheads with a state-level government entity. That’s why the latest brawl between Alibaba, which is China’s biggest e-commerce company and is run by the country’s second richest person, and the State Administration for Industry and Commerce well deserves the intense spotlights that it’s getting.

For those who missed the earlier part of the show, here’s a quick recap: On Jan. 23 the SAIC announced that in a sampling inspection, 63% of the products sold on Alibaba online Taobao marketplace were found to be “unauthentic” – meaning they were fake, discredited or came through unauthorized channels. Four days later, Taobao published a sardonic rebuff on its Chinese twitter account, calling into question the small sampling size and pointing fingers directly at the SAIC internet regulations director.
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Alibaba founder and chairman Jack Ma. (Johannes Eisele/AFP/Getty Images)
In response to the accusations, the SAIC then released a White Paper detailing 19 issues with Alibaba retail platforms, some of the more serious ones being the alleged preponderance of fake products and commercial bribery. The investigation and White Paper were apparently completed months ago, but intentionally held back so as not to affect Alibaba massive IPO in the U.S. Alibaba, while reiterating that the director’s law enforcement was “emotionally charged,” responded by casting itself as a victim of counterfeits in China’s problematic business environment. Shares of the company tumbled 4.4% on Wednesday, closing below $100.
By Thursday both sides backed down a little, with the SAIC quietly removing the White Paper from its website and Alibaba taking down the initial rebuff directed at the director. Yet this gesture doesn’t mean Alibaba is giving in – during the earnings call on Thursday, executive vice chairman Joe Tsai said that the company was preparing to file a formal complaint. Alibaba shares plunged 8.8% in the aftermath due to investors’ concerns over slowed growth, political risks and lack of information transparency.
As an article reprinted by Xinhua News Agency stated, this incident is “the most heated confrontation between the government and an enterprise in the era of Internet economy” and may prove to “have milestone implications.” Alibaba, with its prominence in China’s internet ecosystem, global status and not the least, politically connected investors, may be uniquely positioned to challenge even a state-level government entity.
As rare as the case is, though, this is certainly not the first time that a Chinese billionaire or a high-profile entrepreneur has gone head to head with the government in the public spotlight. Here are some of China’s well-known money-vs.-power tugs-of-war that have taken place in the past.
Li Jingwei
In 1984 Li took over a state-owned liquor factory with 100 employees in Sanshui, Guangdong Province. Within a decade he turned it into an empire with close to RMB 2 billion in annual revenue and was China’s king of soft drinks. Ask any Chinese city dweller who lived through that time and they’d recognize “Jian Li Bao,” an orange-flavored, bubbly drink and the hit product of Li’s company. From 1991 to 1996 the company consistently ranked No.1 in sales and profits in the soft-drink business, and recorded RMB 5 billion in annual revenue at its peak. One moment of glory came in 1994 when the company took over an entire floor of the Empire State Building in New York to open its Americas office.
But Li began running into foes with the municipal government when he attempted a management buyout and moved the company’s headquarters out of its hometown, allegedly without notifying local officials. In a high-profile bid that resembled an open challenge, Li offered RMB 450 million for the still state-owned company and mobilized the media to scrutinize the government’s choices of qualified buyers. Sensing that he was breaking away from its grip, the government rejected Li’s bid without giving a good reason. The company was hastily sold to another state-owned enterprise, giving him only a day’s notice before the signing ceremony.
Li suffered a cerebral hemorrhage days after the ceremony, where he sat without speaking a word and was caught on camera holding back his tears. Months later he received a notice while on his sickbed from the prosecutor’s office for suspected embezzlement of national assets.
Yang Rong
Yang Rong ranked No.3 on Forbes’ China Rich List in 2001 with a net worth of RMB 7 billion. A legend in China’s auto industry, he engineered the first IPO of a Chinese company, Shenyang-based Brilliance Auto, on the New York Stock Exchange. The holding company once had a total market value of RMB 24.6 billion, 5 publicly listed companies and 158 related companies, according to The Dashing 30 Years, a book by former Chinese business reporter Wu Xiaobo.
Trouble came when Yang negotiated a joint venture for Brilliance Auto with British manufacturer Rover Co. in 2001. He insisted on building a factory outside of the home province against the will of the provincial government. Soon after, Yang also tried to disentangle the ownership structure of Brilliance, which had started as a state-owned company, and assert his own control over it. The negotiations fell through in 2002, with Yang fleeing to the U.S. He made various attempts to sue the state entity for property torts from overseas. The provincial prosecutor’s office responded with an arrest warrant for him on the basis of “suspected economic crime.”
Dong Mingzhu
Dong is credited with turning Gree Appliances from “a sleepy domestic company” in Guangzhou into the world’s largest residential air-conditioner marker, with a 30% global market share in 2013. Forbes Asia named Dong one of Asia’s 50 Power Businesswomen in 2014.
In the year 2010, Gree paid RMB 2.6 billion in taxes, ranking first among all Chinese home-appliance companies for the 9th year straight, according to Dong. But it was also that year that this model taxpayer decided to sue the Guangzhou treasury department for canceling a deal that Gree originally won, and opting instead for a bidder with a worse price offer. The government cited Gree failure to comply with a certain procedure as the reason for the cancellation.
The lawsuit was widely publicized by the media. The outspoken Dong criticized the procurement party for “being irresponsible to the national fiscal budget and assets,” and even brought the complaint in person to the Party Secretary of Guangdong Province. In an online public opinion poll, 76% of the 80,000 respondents believed that the government was to be blamed, and an overwhelming 91% thought that some black-box operation went on behind the other bid.
Yet the lawsuit was rejected twice by the local court on the grounds that the accused was “not the appropriate defendant.” In a surprising twist, Gree decided to withdraw the lawsuit “without conditions,” which its lawyer described as a result that “made everyone happy,” Chinese media reported. What exactly transpired between the two parties remains a mystery.
Yan Jiehe
Yan Jiehe runs China’s largest non-state-owned construction company, China Pacific Construction Group, which had revenue of $60 billion last year. Yan made the news this week when the company decided to sue six municipal and county governments in four different provinces for unpaid debt. Two of the smaller lawsuits alleged that CPCG was owed RMB 178 million, the Financial Times reported. Yan said before filing the lawsuits, the company has had “multiple exchanges with the government but has not received a satisfactory response,” according to Chinese media reports.

1/27/2015

Alibaba Private Bank To Launch In First Half of 2015



Alibaba Private Bank To Launch In First Half of 2015

Alibaba Group Holding’s finance arm will launch its private bank by June this year, Yu Shengfa, vice president of the Alibaba affiliate, says during a press event today.
“We have submitted required reports to authorities in March,” Yu says. “We expect to open the bank in May or June.”
Zhejiang Ant Small & Micro Financial Services Group, which processes e-commerce payments and is crucial to Alibaba operations, won approval to set up a privately owned bank in September. The bank will be 30% owned by Ant Financial. Shanghai Fosun High Technology will own 25%. The rest will be taken up by private investors including a subsidiary of Wanxiang Group and Ningbo Jinrun Asset Management.

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Separately, Yu announced that the financial affiliate has won a 500 million yuan loan from the International Finance Corporation. The money will be used to expand lending to female entrepreneurs. Goldman Sachs, which is also part of the deal through its 10,000 Women initiative, estimates that female entrepreneurs in China face a financing gap of  $25 billion.
“ Chinese female entrepreneurs are very cautious,” Yu says in response to a question from Forbes. “They don’t want their companies to get too big, but such small companies have a lot of difficulties in obtaining loans from banks.”
The deal comes as Alibaba is expanding its reach to small- and medium-sized companies in China. Ant Financial has said that it wants the private bank, to be headquartered in Hangzhou, to focus on deposits of less than 200,000 yuan and loans under 5 million yuan as part of the support for groups under-served by China’s state-owned financial institutions.
The government in Beijing is also stepping up support for SMEs. China’s central bank, the People’s Bank of China, has cut reserve requirement ratios of banks that give sizable loans to the rural sector and small businesses.
Ji Min, an official with the PBoC, says financial support for SMEs run by female entrepreneurs lags behind.
 “This is very much a blank area,” he says at the event. “It has a lot of potential.”

How Yahoo's Alibaba 'Sale' Skirts Tax Billions, Buffett-Like




Yahoo! Inc. and its CEO Marissa Mayer are sitting pretty, yet also in a tough spot. Investors expect not only earnings but a nice non-taxable bump on Yahoo’s roughly $40 billion stake in Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. Yahoo should keep some of Ma’s company, but cashing in on even part of Yahoo’s shrewd 2005 investment in Alibaba could mean paying the IRS 35%, right? Recall that Yahoo took a $3 billion tax hit when it sold about $10 billion in Alibaba shares.
But that was then. More than 18 months ago, Yahoo CFO Ken Goldman complained about U.S. taxes on Yahoo’s 2012 $7.6 billion sale of half of its 40% stake in Alibaba. Even then, the goal was far more tax-efficiency. And the calls for improvement have grown to a virtual clamor. As Yahoo announces earnings, the timing for a tax coup is important. For this next batch of sales, Yahoo is expected to be–more tax savvy.
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Yahoo probably will retain stock, not just to avoid an IRS bill of up to $14 billion. Buffet-like, Yahoo should ’sell’ in a way that postpones U.S. taxes. One suggestion was to emulate John Malone’s Liberty Ventures disposition of travel website TripAdvisor Inc. Liberty created a new unit that borrowed $400 million from banks, so Liberty wound up with most of the cash. Meantime, the new unit’s stock was spun off to Liberty shareholders.

TripAdvisor then acquired the new unit in exchange for the travel site’s stock. TripAdvisor was left to repay the $400 million, while Liberty Ventures (along with the cash) could exit TripAdvisor. Talk about a sale without the tax aftertaste. Similarly, Yahoo could choose to spin off its Alibaba stock into a new entity. The Newco would borrow money and distribute cash to Yahoo.
Another flavor of the tax dance would be a cash-rich division, like one orchestrated by Berkshire Hathaway Inc. and Graham Holdings Co. Buffett company unloads its stake in the former Washington Post Co. without the bitter tax aftertaste. Graham transfers cash (and a Miami television business) into a new subsidiary. Graham then shifts stock in that new unit to Berkshire Hathaway, which moves its Graham stake back to the media company.
Isn’t this really Berkshire Hathaway selling its stake in Graham for cash and a TV station? Sort of, but better without taxes. Yahoo might try it, exchanging Alibaba shares for shares in a new unit holding cash. Alibaba would need to shed some assets too, but the stakes should make it worthwhile. Alibaba dominates many businesses in China, with $8.5 billion in sales and $3.8 billion in net income for its year ended in March 2014.
Jack Ma started the company in 1999 in his apartment in Hangzhou, China. Although Alibaba went public on the NYSE, Alibaba.com went public in Hong Kong in 2007, going private again in 2012. But this time its U.S. IPO looks different. And it may even out-Amazon Amazon and eBay, with tax as well as non-tax advantages. Alibaba is a Cayman Islands company, yet derives most of its revenue in China. Some licenses and Internet operations are held in separate entities.


Even A Bear Thinks Apple's Earnings Could Be A Positive Catalyst

Apple reports its December quarter financials after the close on Tuesday with expectations and estimates increasing since the company reported its September quarter’s results in October. Andy Hargreaves, Pacific Crest’s Apple analyst who has been bearish on the shares since early September, published a note that said the announcement could be a positive catalyst for the shares. (Note that I own Apple shares).
Bearish Pacific Crest analyst believes results could be better than expected
Pacific Crest’s Apple analyst, Andy Hargreaves, has been bearish on Apple’s shares since he downgraded them on September 9 before the iPhone 6 and 6 Plus were announced. While he isn’t changing his long-term concern and pegs Apple’s shares fair value at $103 his earnings preview note about Apple definitely has a bullish tone. This is in contrast to his January 14 note where he was expecting in-line results for the December and March quarters. It will be interesting to see what he writes after the quarter is announced especially since so many data points are pointing to very strong iPhone sales.
It sounds a bit like Hargreaves is trying to have his cake and eat it too
In his list of 5 things to watch on Apple’s financial results he believes that the company could report iPhone sales of 70 to 75 million units in the December quarter, meaningfully above his 63.4 million projection (I am estimating 70.3 million). He also believes Apple could be on track to sell 55 million in the March quarter versus his 49.9 million (I am estimating 62 million due to demand and channel fill).
His concern lies more in fiscal 2016 which is a year away. Yes it is important to look to the future when analyzing a company and determining a stock price but it does seem like Hargreaves is reaching farther than he should given the unprecedented iPhone demand and the potential that it could carry on for more quarters than he is modeling. Hargreaves wrote “We continue to believe slowing new user growth and a lower replacement rate in the next iPhone cycle will prevent meaningful EPS growth in fiscal 2016 and limit stock appreciation over the next year, but extraordinary current demand for iPhone is likely to drive fiscal 2015 estimates higher exiting Apple’s fiscal first quarter report.”
  
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Hargreaves other items to watch for include:
  • The stronger dollar could negatively impact gross margins by over 200 basis points or 2.0 margin points in calendar 2015
  • iPad sales will continue to decline. Hargreaves estimates 24 and 15 million in  the December and March quarters, respectively. I am at 19.6 and 12 million, respectively, worse than what he is projecting.
  • Operating expenses could be flat or slightly rise in the March quarter due to introducing Apple’s Watch
  • Expecting additional debt to be raised to ensure the capital return program continues though 2016
One point he does not bring up that will be critical to how much revenue Apple generated and will going forward is the iPhone’s average selling price or ASP. I am estimating that it came in at $690 for the quarter, which is probably $20 to $30 higher than the average analyst. At 70 million iPhones that translates to $1.4 to $2.1 billion in additional revenue and $0.05 to $0.08 of EPS

I have a $130 price target
It is always hard to call a short-term move but if my estimates are correct the stock should move higher as I don’t think expectations are at that level.  I peg a target price of $130 based on a PE multiple of 15 times $8 in calendar EPS getting to $120 and then adding $10 in net cash per share after excluding $10 billion to run the business and paying US taxes on the international cash.

The Big Data Mistake In The Internet Of Things

The next strategic inflexion point for software application development today is the Internet of Things (IoT); at least that’s what people say. It is hugely fashionable just now to “partner on an IoT initiative” and you will see these tech industry love-ins cropping up every week now.
But do all these firms think about what programmers in the IoT zone really need at the heart of the matter and are we forgetting the real secret locked inside? After all, the secret to the IoT is just “data” itself, isn’t it?
German software haus Software AG has partnered with Indian software integrator and consulting company Wipro to develop IoT software for smart, connected products. The firms have connected on technology for “streaming analytics” to provide actionable intelligence that uses a real-time analytics engine, an in memory database technology and various mash-up technologies.
Wipro is cautiously positive about the IoT challenge and senior architect Audi Lucas says that there is a “completely new challenge for IoT system designers” here. He states that it’s all about architectures that can continuously analyze streaming data, make smart decisions in very short time-frames and intelligently evolve system behavior to navigate around threats in real-time.
The secret key to the IoT?
With cloud hosted analytics and algorithms that are accessible by digital sensors and devices, actions like process updates, event responses and machine behavior can then be implemented says John Bates, global head of industry solutions and CMO at Software AG. “The key to successfully addressing the IoT market is the ability to rapidly build and evolve apps that tap into, analyze and make smart decisions on fast, big data”, said Bates.
As factually correct as these statements are, surely the real key to addressing the IoT market is getting the data in the first place?
Deeply unseemly predictive petabytes
Event responses and machine behavior is all very well when it comes to new post-millennial products with their petabytes of sensor-generated data. But if we look more closely into the deeply unseemly world of predictive maintenance on industrial equipment, we will have to contend with massive files that are typically buried and inaccessible after years of being shuffled around by the IT department.
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Up to date data? It is not uncommon for industrial machinery to have a 30 year-plus life-cycle.
CEO of data management start-up Peaxy is Manuel Terra-nova. The former GE Oil & Gas division CIO reminds us that, “No one will deny that telemetry data generated by embedded sensors has opened doors to a new universe of innovation. However, few realize that for Global 1,000 manufacturers to make the Industrial Internet a reality, engineering teams need to be able to compare this data the equipment’s original geometry schematics drawings and simulations, files that might have been generated as far back as the 1970s or ‘80s — it is not uncommon for industrial machinery to have a 30 year-plus life-cycle.”
Peaxy itself is employing patented technology to help firms aggregate telemetry with these massive simulation and geometry data-sets, placing them all into a single directory.

So let’s be kind to the likes of Software AG and Wipro, there is much work to be done here and these firms are focusing us on the new developer coalface. Let’s even be kind to the likes of Italtel and Cisco who this week announced guess what? An IoT partnership to work on technologies for smart manufacturers to open industrial plants to IT enterprise applications. We just need to get a few core realizations under our belt.
So as social enterprise entrepreneur Aral Balkan has said, “There is no Internet of Things. There is only the Internet of Data.”

Reports That China Sold More Apple iPhones Than The US May Be Too Good To Be True

The British newspaper The Telegraph is citing a UBS report that Apple AAPL +0.1% sold more iPhones in China than the US. I have read one UBS report that said China could have generated 35% of iPhone sales in the quarter (vs. the 36% cited in the Telegraph article) and the one I read did not give a number for the US vs. 24% in the article. While it may be possible that China sold more iPhones than the US lets look at some of the numbers and timing behind this statement. (Note that I own Apple shares).
In fiscal 2014 per Apple’s 10-K filing the US generated $68.9 billion in revenue or 37.7% of total revenue. China accounted for $30.6 billion or 16.8% of total revenue making the US more than twice the size of China.
China sales skew to iPhones
There is probably a skew between product lines for the two countries with the US accounting for more Mac, iPad, software and accessories sales than China so that does need to be taken into account. In the report I read UBS’s Apple analyst Steve Milunovich estimates that China contributed 22% of iPhone shipments a year ago (vs. about 16% of total revenue) and 21% of shipments (vs. about 14% of total revenue) in the September 2014 quarter.
If you were to adjust the US percent of revenue to take into account the non-iPhone revenue the iPhone portion probably comes down to the low 30’s percent area from almost 38%. This means China has a smaller gap to close to out-ship the US but to do it by 50% more (36% vs. 24%) I believe would have been very hard to do.
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US shipments started in September vs. China’s on October 17
Apple started selling the iPhone 6 and 6 Plus on Friday, September 19, so it had the full three months of the December quarter to sell them. The new iPhone’s didn’t go on sale until October 17 in China so it only had 10 weeks to generate sales in the quarter. Apple’s partnership with China Mobile will have definitely helped since China Mobile is experiencing huge 4G smartphone growth this year.

Expecting 70.3 million iPhones sold in the quarter
I am estimating that Apple sold 70.3 million iPhones in the quarter, up 38% year over year and up 79% from the September quarter. While it is possible that China accounted for 25.3 million of the 70.3 million vs. the US at 16.8 million I find it unlikely that the US was outsold. I’ll be pleasantly surprised if China led the way since it could change analyst opinions on how well Apple could do in the country. It would make a lot of sense that China could out-sell the US in the March quarter due to the pent up demand (China Unicom had most models of the iPhone 6 and 6 Plus not in stock the first few weeks of the quarter) and Chinese New Year in February.

1/26/2015

8 Things Single Moms And Dads Need To Know About Taxes

Unmarried parents face a unique set of concerns in life, and that includes taxes Before filing, consider these federal tax considerations:
  • Head of household status. If you were unmarried on Dec. 31, 2014, earn at least 50 percent of your household income and your kids live with you for 6 months of the year or more total, file as head of household. This usually affords you a lower tax rate and higher deductions.
  • Determine who you can claim as a dependent. This determines whither you can take any number of other credits and deductions. This is usually stipulated in a separation or divorce agreement, and the parent who would normally claim the child can agree to sign a waiver allowing a non-custodial parent to make the claim. You cannot split this deduction for a single child, but some parents agree to take turns claiming children on alternate years, or if there are two or more children, agreeing that each parent can claim one of the kids. However, the IRS determines that a child is a dependent based on if the child lived with a parent for at least six months and was financially supported for the same time.
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  • Exemptions. For every dependent kid, you can deduct $3,950 for tax year 2014. This phases out for heads of household earning $279,650 or more.
  • Tax credits. Single parents earning $75,000 adjusted gross income or less can take $1,000 off their tax bill for each dependent kid who was aged 16 and younger on Dec. 31.
  • Child care. Heads of household who have an income or are full-time students can claim u p to $3,000 for one kid or $6,000 for two or more children for qualifying child care. This includes summer day camps and after-school programs. Phaseout starts at $75,000 for single head of household filers.
  • Dependent care spending accounts. If this tax-sheltering benefit is available through your employer or business, single heads of household can contribute up to $5,000 tax-free to pay for child care expenses for dependent children.
  • Earned Income Tax Credit If you have three or more kids and earned less than $46,997 as a single parent, take this credit. If you have one or two children you may also qualify if your income is lower. The maximum credit is $6,143.
  • Adoption costs If you adopted a child and the process was finalized in 2014, you are eligible for up to $13,190 per child in federal tax credits. 

RBS Six Nations Driving Demand For Rugby World Cup Tickets

In just a few weeks, the Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) Six Nations Rugby Championship will begin with England, France, Ireland, Italy, Scotland, and Wales competing for the Championship Trophy. Last year’s champion, Ireland, will look to defend their crown while holding off the talented squads of England and Ireland.
While the action won’t begin until February 6th, demand for rugby tickets is heating up.  viagogo, the world’s largest ticket marketplace, has reported a 129% increase in ticket demand in the past week building up to kick-off. Particular excitement seems to be surrounding Scottish Rugby, with the Scotland vs. Wales and the Scotland vs. Italy meetings showing a combined 83% increase in ticket searches over the most recent two weeks.
Duncan Weir, one of the most talented players on the Scottish Rugby squad, was recently ruled out of this year’s RBS 6 Nations due to a bicep injury that will require surgery and could sideline him for half a calendar year. For Scotland, the two players pegged to hopefully pick up his slack will be Jonny Gray and Finn Russell.  And if the secondary ticket market is any indication, Scotland fans are quite eager to see just how well those two can perform.
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While RBS Six Nations will be taking place relatively soon, the main event for 2015 – the Rugby World Cup – will begin on Friday, September 18th.  With the United Kingdom as the host country, the build-up to the Six Nations tournament has also led to an increase in demand for Rugby World Cup tickets. Lasting over six weeks, this year’s Rugby World Cup will end on October 31st at Twickenham Stadium.  The cheapest tickets currently available are $1,296.96, one of the highest get-in prices for any international event in 2015.
A viagogo spokesperson commented: “It seems rugby fever has well and truly arrived in the run-up to the Rugby World Cup later this year. With tickets for Scottish Rugby starting at £28, it’s no surprise that rugby fans are snapping up tickets fast.”
Tickets remain available at viagogo, the world’s largest source for live event tickets. viagogo is an official partner of Scottish Rugby, along with hundreds of other clubs in global sports and entertainment, including Manchester City, Paris St. Germain, and SFX Entertainment.

1/21/2015

IMF: India's Growth To Be Faster Than China's By 2016



We might think of this as being good news for India, as the latest IMF global forecast predicts that the GDP growth rate in that country will be above that of China in 2016. And of course it is good news in one manner, as it means that the poor people of India will be getting better off. But it’s also not unalloyed good news. For the switch comes as a result of slowing Chinese growth, not rising Indian. And it’s also true that India ought to be growing faster than China. Poorer countries should grow faster than richer ones and India is significantly poorer than China.
Here’s one report on the matter:

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The bright spot in the IMF’s report is this: India will be the fastest growing major economy in 2016, with projected GDP growth of 6.5 percent against China’s 6.3 percent.
If you want to see the glass as half empty, one has to point out that India’s overtaking of China in 2016 will be the result of a slowing down of Chinese growth rather than just superior performance by India. At 6.5 percent, India will still not have achieved the kind of growth it did over 2003-08.

Quite so and here is the IMF itself:
Lower growth in China and its implications for emerging Asia: Investment growth in China declined in the third quarter of 2014, and leading indicators point to a further slowdown. The authorities are now expected to put greater weight on reducing vulnerabilities from recent rapid credit and investment growth and hence the forecast assumes less of a policy response to the underlying moderation. Slower growth in China will also have important regional effects, which partly explains the downward revisions to growth in much of emerging Asia. In India, the growth forecast is broadly unchanged, however, as weaker external demand is offset by the boost to the terms of trade from lower oil prices and a pickup in industrial and investment activity after policy reforms.
That is good news in a way, of course it is. Modi is at least making moves towards the right sort of structural reforms that the Indian economy needs. As a significant energy importer India also gains from those lower global fossil fuel prices. And what is lost to the predicted slight slowdown in global growth is made up for by those factors. So, yes, that’s just fine, India will be growing. And, as a result of that slowdown in growth in China it is predicted that India will grow (just) faster than China.
However, it’s also true that this should be happening. It’s a standard prediction of development economics that poorer countries should grow faster than richer ones. This is because such growth is “catch up” growth. When you’re out there at the technological edge of what it is possible to make, and at the limits of human knowledge of how to make those things, then further economic advance can only come by inventing new ways to do old things or new things to do. This is, as anyone who has ever tried to have an original idea will tell you, difficult. However, if you’re well inside that technological limit then it’s possible to grow more rapidly. One can simply observe the outside world, note that “Ah, that’s the way you do that!” and then go off an do it. Yes, that’s obviously a bit simplistic but it is the basic point being made.
Given that by some measures (PPP GDP per capita in this case) India is less than half as rich as China ($5,450 to $11,870) then India should be growing faster than China. That is hasn’t been as a regular matter shows the limitations of the economic policies that have been followed.
So, yes, it is good news that India will be growing strongly in 2016. But that it will be growing faster than China is something we really should have been expecting all along.